{ "signature": "c3f22d92a68a59a14b7d6ed17887ecd05796bc2314023f9391ed711f3e4d8af8", "parsed": { "advice": "匹配训练集原型为“故意伤害罪-prototype-1”(样本量100),匹配依据为案件关键因素与原型定义特征高度重合,包括injury_result=轻伤、minor_injury_count=1.0、injury_degree=轻伤二级、criminal_motive=琐事等(对应原型中z值较高的特征)。该原型刑期统计区间:中位数8个月,四分位区间6-12个月(q25=6.0,q75=12.0),范围3-36个月。需注意,案件中自首、全额赔偿、被害人谅解、认罪认罚等从轻情节未被纳入原型定义特征,可能导致实际刑期与统计区间存在差异,不确定性较高。" }, "receipt": { "purpose": "3-12 held-out prototype-grounded advice cail2018-0317ae92dc821b04", "provider": "ark", "endpoint": "https://ark.cn-beijing.volces.com/api/v3", "started_at": "2026-07-30T04:42:03.759235+00:00", "latency_ms": 26429.064, "request": { "model": "doubao-seed-1-6-250615", "messages": [ { "role": "system", "content": "你是司法数据分析助手。只可使用给出的训练集案件原型统计与已抽取因素,不得使用原始训练案件、外部法律知识或自行给出其他刑期数字。解释匹配依据和统计区间,强调不确定性。只返回 JSON:{\"advice\":\"...\"}。不要写免责声明,系统会统一附加。" }, { "role": "user", "content": "HELDOUT EXTRACTED FACTORS:\n{\"charge\": \"故意伤害罪\", \"surrender\": true, \"truthful_confession\": null, \"compensation_to_victim\": \"全额赔偿\", \"victim_forgiveness\": true, \"joint_crime\": null, \"criminal_record\": null, \"arrest_method\": \"自首\", \"return_of_stolen_property\": null, \"crime_count\": null, \"crime_amount\": null, \"guilty_plea\": true, \"first_offense\": null, \"recidivism\": null, \"criminal_form\": \"既遂\", \"disposal_of_stolen_property\": null, \"victim_count\": 1.0, \"injury_degree\": \"轻伤二级\", \"weapon_type\": null, \"criminal_cause\": \"债务纠纷\", \"community_correction_eligibility\": null, \"victim_fault\": null, \"compensation_status\": \"全额赔偿\", \"mutual_fight\": null, \"injury_result\": \"轻伤\", \"criminal_motive\": \"琐事\", \"drunk_crime\": null, \"minor_injury_count\": 1.0, \"serious_injury_count\": 0.0}\n\nMATCHED TRAINING PROTOTYPE ONLY:\n{\"prototype_id\": \"故意伤害罪-prototype-1\", \"charge\": \"故意伤害罪\", \"prototype_size\": 100, \"sentence_months\": {\"median\": 8.0, \"q25\": 6.0, \"q75\": 12.0, \"min\": 3.0, \"max\": 36.0}, \"defining_features\": [{\"feature\": \"cat:injury_result=轻伤\", \"z\": 1.5568442135769593}, {\"feature\": \"num:minor_injury_count\", \"z\": 1.4868344442139674}, {\"feature\": \"num:crime_amount\", \"z\": -1.1597831108065333}, {\"feature\": \"cat:injury_degree=轻伤二级\", \"z\": 1.1511080895758883}, {\"feature\": \"cat:criminal_cause=琐事争执\", \"z\": 1.0373867906329766}, {\"feature\": \"bool:mutual_fight\", \"z\": 0.8262918864452846}, {\"feature\": \"cat:criminal_motive=琐事\", \"z\": 0.7564756876813216}, {\"feature\": \"num:crime_count\", \"z\": -0.7017513783529625}], \"match_distance\": 0.15484050438307592}" } ], "temperature": 0, "seed": 37, "max_tokens": 900, "response_format": { "type": "json_object" } }, "response": { "id": "02178538652398866d4fff57f472cc97f9dc7178d7aa526f9b569", "choices": [ { "finish_reason": "stop", "index": 0, "logprobs": null, "message": { "content": "{\"advice\":\"匹配训练集原型为“故意伤害罪-prototype-1”(样本量100),匹配依据为案件关键因素与原型定义特征高度重合,包括injury_result=轻伤、minor_injury_count=1.0、injury_degree=轻伤二级、criminal_motive=琐事等(对应原型中z值较高的特征)。该原型刑期统计区间:中位数8个月,四分位区间6-12个月(q25=6.0,q75=12.0),范围3-36个月。需注意,案件中自首、全额赔偿、被害人谅解、认罪认罚等从轻情节未被纳入原型定义特征,可能导致实际刑期与统计区间存在差异,不确定性较高。\"}", "refusal": null, "role": "assistant", "annotations": null, "audio": null, "function_call": null, "tool_calls": null, "reasoning_content": "\n我现在需要处理用户提供的司法数据分析请求。首先,我要仔细阅读用户给出的HELDOUT EXTRACTED FACTORS和MATCHED TRAINING PROTOTYPE ONLY的内容,然后根据要求生成JSON格式的建议。\n\n首先,用户的问题是关于故意伤害罪的案件,需要根据匹配的训练集原型来给出刑期建议。根据系统提示,我只能使用给出的训练集案件原型统计与已抽取因素,不能使用外部法律知识或自行给出刑期数字。需要解释匹配依据和统计区间,并强调不确定性。\n\n先看HELDOUT EXTRACTED FACTORS中的关键因素:charge是故意伤害罪,injury_result是轻伤,minor_injury_count是1.0,injury_degree是轻伤二级,criminal_cause是债务纠纷,criminal_motive是琐事,mutual_fight是null,还有surrender=true,truthful_confession=null,compensation_to_victim=全额赔偿,victim_forgiveness=true,guilty_plea=true等。\n\n然后看MATCHED TRAINING PROTOTYPE ONLY,原型ID是故意伤害罪-prototype-1,prototype_size是100,sentence_months的统计数据是median=8.0,q25=6.0,q75=12.0,min=3.0,max=36.0。defining_features里有几个关键的匹配特征,比如cat:injury_result=轻伤(z值1.556)、num:minor_injury_count(z值1.486)、cat:injury_degree=轻伤二级(z值1.151)、cat:criminal_motive=琐事(z值0.756)等。这些特征与HELDOUT中的因素有部分匹配,比如injury_result=轻伤、minor_injury_count=1.0、injury_degree=轻伤二级、criminal_motive=琐事,这些在原型的defining features中都有较高的z值,说明匹配度较高。不过criminal_cause在HELDOUT中是债务纠纷,而原型中的defining feature是“cat:criminal_cause=琐事争执”,这里可能存在差异,但用户提供的HELDOUT中criminal_cause是债务纠纷,而原型的defining feature里有“琐事争执”,不过匹配距离是0.1548,说明还是有一定匹配度的。\n\n接下来,匹配依据应该基于原型的defining features与HELDOUT因素的重合部分。比如injury_result=轻伤、minor_injury_count=1.0、injury_degree=轻伤二级、criminal_motive=琐事,这些在HELDOUT中都存在,而原型的defining features中这些特征的z值较高,说明这些是原型的关键特征,因此匹配依据是这些特征的一致性。\n\n然后是统计区间,原型的sentence_months给出了median=8.0,q25=6.0,q75=12.0,min=3.0,max=36.0。所以统计区间应该引用这些数据,即四分位区间为6-12个月,中位数为8个月,同时要说明这是基于匹配原型的统计结果。\n\n需要注意的是,HELDOUT中的一些因素在原型的defining features中可能有正负z值,比如num:crime_amount和num:crime_count是负z值,可能表示这些因素在原型中影响较小或缺失,而HELDOUT中这些因素也是null或未提及,可能影响不大。另外,HELDOUT中有surrender=true、compensation_to_victim=全额赔偿、victim_forgiveness=true、guilty_plea=true这些从轻情节,但匹配的原型defining features中没有这些特征,可能原型中未重点考虑这些因素,这可能导致统计区间的不确定性,需要指出。\n\n现在需要组织语言:首先说明匹配的原型是“故意伤害罪-prototype-1”,匹配依据是案件的关键因素与原型的定义特征高度重合,如injury_result=轻伤、minor_injury_count=1.0、injury_degree=轻伤二级、criminal_motive=琐事等。然后给出原型的刑期统计区间:中位数8个月,四分位区间6-12个月(q25=6.0,q75=12.0),范围3-36个月。接着强调不确定性,因为案件中存在的自首、全额赔偿、被害人谅解、认罪认罚等从轻情节在匹配原型的定义特征中未被重点纳入,可能影响实际刑期与统计区间的差异。\n\n最后,按照要求返回JSON格式,键为\"advice\",值为上述解释内容。" } } ], "created": 1785386550, "model": "doubao-seed-1-6-250615", "object": "chat.completion", "service_tier": "default", "system_fingerprint": null, "usage": { "completion_tokens": 1189, "prompt_tokens": 811, "total_tokens": 2000, "completion_tokens_details": { "accepted_prediction_tokens": null, "audio_tokens": null, "reasoning_tokens": 1027, "rejected_prediction_tokens": null }, 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