{ "signature": "2f23690cad76a4ab3eaa8de092035e76f646a5e4e539ff9c37fd510e8f3659bd", "parsed": { "advice": "匹配依据:待分析案件的核心特征“injury_result=重伤”“serious_injury_count=1.0”“injury_degree=重伤二级”与训练集原型“故意伤害罪-prototype-0”的关键定义特征(z值较高的伤情相关特征)高度匹配,匹配距离为0.209,表明两者特征相似度较高。统计区间:该原型包含18个案件,刑期中位数为36个月,四分位区间(Q25-Q75)为24.0-38.25个月,刑期范围为9.0-96.0个月。不确定性:待分析案件存在“全额赔偿”“被害人谅解”“被害人过错”等因素,但原型的定义特征中未突出体现这些因素的影响,可能导致实际刑期与原型统计区间存在差异。" }, "receipt": { "purpose": "3-12 held-out prototype-grounded advice cail2018-1ff92ea20164c817", "provider": "ark", "endpoint": "https://ark.cn-beijing.volces.com/api/v3", "started_at": "2026-07-30T04:42:07.832489+00:00", "latency_ms": 17280.584, "request": { "model": "doubao-seed-1-6-250615", "messages": [ { "role": "system", "content": "你是司法数据分析助手。只可使用给出的训练集案件原型统计与已抽取因素,不得使用原始训练案件、外部法律知识或自行给出其他刑期数字。解释匹配依据和统计区间,强调不确定性。只返回 JSON:{\"advice\":\"...\"}。不要写免责声明,系统会统一附加。" }, { "role": "user", "content": "HELDOUT EXTRACTED FACTORS:\n{\"charge\": \"故意伤害罪\", \"surrender\": false, \"truthful_confession\": null, \"compensation_to_victim\": \"全额赔偿\", \"victim_forgiveness\": true, \"joint_crime\": null, \"criminal_record\": null, \"arrest_method\": \"被抓获\", \"return_of_stolen_property\": null, \"crime_count\": null, \"crime_amount\": null, \"guilty_plea\": null, \"first_offense\": null, \"recidivism\": null, \"criminal_form\": \"既遂\", \"disposal_of_stolen_property\": null, \"victim_count\": 1.0, \"injury_degree\": \"重伤二级\", \"weapon_type\": null, \"criminal_cause\": \"琐事争执\", \"community_correction_eligibility\": null, \"victim_fault\": true, \"compensation_status\": \"全额赔偿\", \"mutual_fight\": null, \"injury_result\": \"重伤\", \"criminal_motive\": \"琐事\", \"drunk_crime\": null, \"minor_injury_count\": 0.0, \"serious_injury_count\": 1.0}\n\nMATCHED TRAINING PROTOTYPE ONLY:\n{\"prototype_id\": \"故意伤害罪-prototype-0\", \"charge\": \"故意伤害罪\", \"prototype_size\": 18, \"sentence_months\": {\"median\": 36.0, \"q25\": 24.0, \"q75\": 38.25, \"min\": 9.0, \"max\": 96.0}, \"defining_features\": [{\"feature\": \"cat:injury_result=重伤\", \"z\": 4.229908779144486}, {\"feature\": \"num:serious_injury_count\", \"z\": 4.229908779144443}, {\"feature\": \"cat:injury_degree=重伤二级\", \"z\": 3.8219021986682136}, {\"feature\": \"cat:injury_degree=重伤\", \"z\": 1.4201266762286806}, {\"feature\": \"num:crime_amount\", \"z\": -1.181082234467661}, {\"feature\": \"cat:arrest_method=自首\", \"z\": 1.0441851275732448}, {\"feature\": \"bool:surrender\", \"z\": 1.011423265985623}, {\"feature\": \"cat:weapon_type=卡刀\", \"z\": 1.0027816465415866}], \"match_distance\": 0.2090534943522655}" } ], "temperature": 0, "seed": 37, "max_tokens": 900, "response_format": { "type": "json_object" } }, "response": { "id": "021785386528064e542ae8f7c04736102ead861a601340cc20c09", "choices": [ { "finish_reason": "stop", "index": 0, "logprobs": null, "message": { "content": "{\"advice\":\"匹配依据:待分析案件的核心特征“injury_result=重伤”“serious_injury_count=1.0”“injury_degree=重伤二级”与训练集原型“故意伤害罪-prototype-0”的关键定义特征(z值较高的伤情相关特征)高度匹配,匹配距离为0.209,表明两者特征相似度较高。统计区间:该原型包含18个案件,刑期中位数为36个月,四分位区间(Q25-Q75)为24.0-38.25个月,刑期范围为9.0-96.0个月。不确定性:待分析案件存在“全额赔偿”“被害人谅解”“被害人过错”等因素,但原型的定义特征中未突出体现这些因素的影响,可能导致实际刑期与原型统计区间存在差异。\"}", "refusal": null, "role": "assistant", "annotations": null, "audio": null, "function_call": null, "tool_calls": null, "reasoning_content": "\n我现在需要处理用户的请求,根据提供的HELDOUT EXTRACTED FACTORS和MATCHED TRAINING PROTOTYPE ONLY来生成司法数据分析建议。首先,我要仔细分析这两个部分的内容。\n\n首先看HELDOUT EXTRACTED FACTORS,里面的罪名是“故意伤害罪”,关键因素包括:injury_result=重伤,serious_injury_count=1.0,injury_degree=重伤二级,arrest_method=被抓获,compensation_to_victim=全额赔偿,victim_forgiveness=true,victim_fault=true等。\n\n然后是MATCHED TRAINING PROTOTYPE ONLY,原型ID是“故意伤害罪-prototype-0”,原型大小18个案件,刑期统计是median=36.0,q25=24.0,q75=38.25,min=9.0,max=96.0。定义特征里,最重要的几个是injury_result=重伤、serious_injury_count、injury_degree=重伤二级等,这些和HELDOUT中的因素高度匹配,比如injury_result=重伤、serious_injury_count=1.0、injury_degree=重伤二级都是原型的关键特征,z值较高,说明这些特征对匹配贡献大。\n\n接下来,我需要解释匹配依据,即HELDOUT中的重伤结果、重伤二级的伤情程度、1人重伤数量等核心特征与原型的定义特征高度相关,匹配距离0.209较低,说明匹配度较高。然后要说明统计区间,即该原型案件的刑期中位数36个月,四分位区间24.0-38.25个月,最小值9个月,最大值96个月。同时要强调不确定性,因为HELDOUT中存在全额赔偿、被害人谅解、被害人过错等因素,而原型的定义特征中未包含这些因素(比如原型的定义特征里没有赔偿、谅解、被害人过错相关的z值高的特征),这些因素可能影响刑期,但原型统计未体现,所以存在不确定性。\n\n需要注意的是,用户要求只使用给出的训练集案件原型统计与已抽取因素,不能用外部知识或自行给刑期数字。所以要基于原型的统计数据(median、q25、q75等)来描述,同时说明匹配依据是核心伤情特征的匹配,以及存在的不确定性因素(赔偿、谅解、被害人过错等未在原型定义特征中突出体现)。\n\n最后,按照要求返回JSON格式,键为\"advice\",值为上述解释内容,强调匹配依据、统计区间和不确定性。" } } ], "created": 1785386545, "model": "doubao-seed-1-6-250615", "object": "chat.completion", "service_tier": "default", "system_fingerprint": null, "usage": { "completion_tokens": 752, "prompt_tokens": 810, "total_tokens": 1562, 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