{ "signature": "3cf09794d7d3e6c800c5a0512fb5cfa77bbf9df5316f0507ea7c02a95f542211", "parsed": { "advice": "匹配依据:HELDOUT案件的伤害结果(轻伤)、轻伤数量(1.0)、伤害程度(轻伤二级)、犯罪原因(琐事争执)等特征与训练集原型“故意伤害罪-prototype-1”的关键定义特征(如cat:injury_result=轻伤、num:minor_injury_count、cat:injury_degree=轻伤二级、cat:criminal_cause=琐事争执)高度匹配。统计区间:该原型刑期中位数为8个月,四分位区间(Q25-Q75)为6-12个月,刑期范围3-36个月。因可能存在未纳入统计的其他影响因素,实际刑期存在不确定性。" }, "receipt": { "purpose": "3-12 held-out prototype-grounded advice cail2018-14123b59cc7ff466", "provider": "ark", "endpoint": "https://ark.cn-beijing.volces.com/api/v3", "started_at": "2026-07-30T04:42:07.708747+00:00", "latency_ms": 18832.737, "request": { "model": "doubao-seed-1-6-250615", "messages": [ { "role": "system", "content": "你是司法数据分析助手。只可使用给出的训练集案件原型统计与已抽取因素,不得使用原始训练案件、外部法律知识或自行给出其他刑期数字。解释匹配依据和统计区间,强调不确定性。只返回 JSON:{\"advice\":\"...\"}。不要写免责声明,系统会统一附加。" }, { "role": "user", "content": "HELDOUT EXTRACTED FACTORS:\n{\"charge\": \"故意伤害罪\", \"surrender\": null, \"truthful_confession\": null, \"compensation_to_victim\": \"全额赔偿\", \"victim_forgiveness\": null, \"joint_crime\": null, \"criminal_record\": null, \"arrest_method\": null, \"return_of_stolen_property\": null, \"crime_count\": null, \"crime_amount\": null, \"guilty_plea\": null, \"first_offense\": null, \"recidivism\": null, \"criminal_form\": \"既遂\", \"disposal_of_stolen_property\": null, \"victim_count\": 1.0, \"injury_degree\": \"轻伤二级\", \"weapon_type\": \"拳头\", \"criminal_cause\": \"琐事争执\", \"community_correction_eligibility\": null, \"victim_fault\": null, \"compensation_status\": \"全额赔偿\", \"mutual_fight\": null, \"injury_result\": \"轻伤\", \"criminal_motive\": null, \"drunk_crime\": null, \"minor_injury_count\": 1.0, \"serious_injury_count\": 0.0}\n\nMATCHED TRAINING PROTOTYPE ONLY:\n{\"prototype_id\": \"故意伤害罪-prototype-1\", \"charge\": \"故意伤害罪\", \"prototype_size\": 100, \"sentence_months\": {\"median\": 8.0, \"q25\": 6.0, \"q75\": 12.0, \"min\": 3.0, \"max\": 36.0}, \"defining_features\": [{\"feature\": \"cat:injury_result=轻伤\", \"z\": 1.5568442135769593}, {\"feature\": \"num:minor_injury_count\", \"z\": 1.4868344442139674}, {\"feature\": \"num:crime_amount\", \"z\": -1.1597831108065333}, {\"feature\": \"cat:injury_degree=轻伤二级\", \"z\": 1.1511080895758883}, {\"feature\": \"cat:criminal_cause=琐事争执\", \"z\": 1.0373867906329766}, {\"feature\": \"bool:mutual_fight\", \"z\": 0.8262918864452846}, {\"feature\": \"cat:criminal_motive=琐事\", \"z\": 0.7564756876813216}, {\"feature\": \"num:crime_count\", \"z\": -0.7017513783529625}], \"match_distance\": 0.10249547587327176}" } ], "temperature": 0, "seed": 37, "max_tokens": 900, "response_format": { "type": "json_object" } }, "response": { "id": "021785386528027446ef7fb8513dceba8bbc8b237b7867ee15b69", "choices": [ { "finish_reason": "stop", "index": 0, "logprobs": null, "message": { "content": "{\"advice\":\"匹配依据:HELDOUT案件的伤害结果(轻伤)、轻伤数量(1.0)、伤害程度(轻伤二级)、犯罪原因(琐事争执)等特征与训练集原型“故意伤害罪-prototype-1”的关键定义特征(如cat:injury_result=轻伤、num:minor_injury_count、cat:injury_degree=轻伤二级、cat:criminal_cause=琐事争执)高度匹配。统计区间:该原型刑期中位数为8个月,四分位区间(Q25-Q75)为6-12个月,刑期范围3-36个月。因可能存在未纳入统计的其他影响因素,实际刑期存在不确定性。\"}", "refusal": null, "role": "assistant", "annotations": null, "audio": null, "function_call": null, "tool_calls": null, "reasoning_content": "\n我现在需要处理用户的请求,根据提供的HELDOUT EXTRACTED FACTORS和MATCHED TRAINING PROTOTYPE来生成建议。首先,我要仔细查看这两个部分的内容。\n\n首先,HELDOUT EXTRACTED FACTORS中的罪名是“故意伤害罪”,伤害结果是“轻伤”,轻伤数量是1.0,伤害程度是“轻伤二级”,犯罪原因是“琐事争执”,其他因素如自首、坦白、赔偿、谅解等都是null或未提及。\n\n然后,MATCHED TRAINING PROTOTYPE是“故意伤害罪-prototype-1”,原型大小100,刑期的中位数是8个月,四分位25%是6个月,75%是12个月,最小值3个月,最大值36个月。定义特征中,有几个关键特征与HELDOUT中的因素匹配,比如“injury_result=轻伤”、“minor_injury_count”、“injury_degree=轻伤二级”、“criminal_cause=琐事争执”,这些z值较高,说明是原型的重要特征。\n\n接下来,我需要确定匹配依据:HELDOUT中的伤害结果(轻伤)、轻伤数量(1.0)、伤害程度(轻伤二级)、犯罪原因(琐事争执)均与原型的关键定义特征匹配,因此匹配到该原型。\n\n然后,统计区间应使用原型的刑期统计数据,即中位数8个月,四分位区间6-12个月,同时要强调不确定性,因为可能存在其他未提及的因素影响。\n\n需要注意用户要求只使用训练集原型统计,不能用外部知识,解释匹配依据和统计区间,强调不确定性。所以建议部分应说明匹配到的原型,依据的关键特征,然后给出原型的刑期统计区间,并指出存在不确定性。\n\n现在组织语言:匹配依据为HELDOUT案件的伤害结果(轻伤)、轻伤数量(1.0)、伤害程度(轻伤二级)、犯罪原因(琐事争执)等特征与“故意伤害罪-prototype-1”的关键定义特征(如injury_result=轻伤、minor_injury_count、injury_degree=轻伤二级、criminal_cause=琐事争执)高度匹配。该原型统计的刑期中位数为8个月,四分位区间(Q25-Q75)为6-12个月,刑期范围3-36个月。由于案件可能存在未纳入统计的其他因素,实际刑期存在不确定性。\n\n最后,按照要求返回JSON格式的advice。" } } ], "created": 1785386546, "model": "doubao-seed-1-6-250615", "object": "chat.completion", "service_tier": "default", "system_fingerprint": null, "usage": { "completion_tokens": 694, "prompt_tokens": 810, "total_tokens": 1504, "completion_tokens_details": { "accepted_prediction_tokens": null, "audio_tokens": null, "reasoning_tokens": 546, "rejected_prediction_tokens": null }, "prompt_tokens_details": { "audio_tokens": null, "cached_tokens": 0 } } }, "usage": { "completion_tokens": 694, "prompt_tokens": 810, "total_tokens": 1504, "completion_tokens_details": { "accepted_prediction_tokens": null, "audio_tokens": null, "reasoning_tokens": 546, "rejected_prediction_tokens": null }, "prompt_tokens_details": { "audio_tokens": null, "cached_tokens": 0 } }, "response_model": "doubao-seed-1-6-250615", "response_id": "021785386528027446ef7fb8513dceba8bbc8b237b7867ee15b69" } }